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The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +3 991.67₸

Invest 9 516.83₸

Average return 13 508.50₸

ROI +41.9%

Chance of profit 37%

With float: invest at least 23 332.07 ₸, profit at most −9 823.57 ₸

float premium: at least 13 042 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

6 455.23 ₸

at 806.90

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

1 994.96 ₸

at 1 994.96

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

1 066.64 ₸

at 1 066.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 516.83 ₸ +3 991.67 (+41.9%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 33%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26 667.64 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 775.53 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 767.26 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Cartel

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

16 545.21 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14 678.94 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

9 926.11 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Shadow Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Gamma Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 015.59 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 540.32 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3164177 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 4 422.20₸ · invest 8 887.92₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.081823 instead of 0.077088; Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New): float at most 0.003467 instead of 0.006202
Craft 3164796 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 4 118.62₸ · invest 9 579.97₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build