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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit · with float −2.02$

Invest 61.74$

Average return 59.71$

ROI −3.3%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest 61.74 $, profit −2.02 $

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

To build: easy

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 81 contracts · easy (by listings)

×1

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Battle-Scarred

any lot

5.95 $

at 5.95

Steam

×8

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Well-Worn

any lot

49.62 $

at 6.20

Steam

×1

P250 | Visions

Field-Tested

any lot

3.76 $

at 3.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 59.33 $ +0.38 (+0.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.514285

67.46 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Well-Worn

float up to 0.411428

76.92 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Field-Tested

float up to 0.360000

36.74 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Printstream

Well-Worn

float up to 0.437142

37.23 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −6.30 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −2.14 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3165166 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 0.35$ · invest 59.58$
Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Visions (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build