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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +3.14$

Invest 3.40$

Average return 6.55$

ROI +92.4%

Chance of profit 52%

With float: invest at least 8.25 $, profit at most −1.70 $

float premium: at least 5 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +3.68 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

0.84 $

at 0.28

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

0.24 $

at 0.24

Steam

×6

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

2.32 $

at 0.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.40 $ +3.14 (+92.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

0.28 $

at 0.28

Steam

×8

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

3.10 $

at 0.39

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

0.97 $

at 0.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.35 $ +3.68 (+84.7%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 48%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26.00 $ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

2.26 $ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.048222

5.42 $ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6.66 $ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.052111

1.52 $ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

0.97 $ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.054444

2.00 $ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Factory New

float up to 0.059111

2.23 $ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

1.12 $ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.00 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.84 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3157363 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.43$ · invest 4.01$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162243 instead of 0.161954; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074258 instead of 0.074158
Craft 3169065 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.41$ · invest 3.28$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164526 instead of 0.161954; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075052 instead of 0.074158
Craft 3181288 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3.41$ · invest 4.20$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New), SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 6; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074430 instead of 0.074158
Craft 3181320 · The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 3.37$ · invest 4.47$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New), SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 6; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076222 instead of 0.074158
Craft 3178884 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.36$ · invest 3.97$
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New), SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 6; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076021 instead of 0.074158
Craft 3156319 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.14$ · invest 4.39$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New), SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 6; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.074158
Craft 3175765 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.06$ · invest 3.37$
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162636 instead of 0.161954; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074395 instead of 0.074158
Craft 3169066 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.06$ · invest 3.39$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162643 instead of 0.161954; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074397 instead of 0.074158
Craft 3162399 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.04$ · invest 3.61$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161828 instead of 0.161954; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074114 instead of 0.074158
Craft 3149523 · The Achroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 2.82$ · invest 4.96$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear), P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New), SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085111 instead of 0.074158
Craft 3162398 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 2.63$ · invest 3.46$
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162126 instead of 0.161954; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074217 instead of 0.074158

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build