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The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +147.95₸

Invest 603.85₸

Average return 751.80₸

ROI +24.5%

Chance of profit 62%

With float: invest at least 1 469.36 ₸, profit at most −717.50 ₸

float premium: at least 447 ₸

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0840

252.74 ₸

at 252.74

Steam

×9

MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0840

351.12 ₸

at 39.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 603.85 ₸ +147.95 (+24.5%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 38%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.049937

833.93 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Control

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 218.75 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087609

448.67 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083277

430.73 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.061326

758.64 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.052565

2 732.16 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087609

843.45 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.045557

3 683.35 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.043804

2 321.67 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.184681

433.03 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +33.92 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +101.99 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3168394 · The Fever Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 139.06₸ · invest 722.59₸
rare inputs

SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078092 instead of 0.084009
Craft 3168170 · The Fever Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 138.75₸ · invest 685.60₸
rare inputs

Nova | Plume (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074653 instead of 0.084009
Craft 3168366 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 134.23₸ · invest 705.73₸
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Delusion (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear); Galil AR | Control: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Zeus x27 | Tosai: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075054 instead of 0.084009
Craft 3168272 · The Fever Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 134.10₸ · invest 576.22₸
P250 | Ripple (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079645 instead of 0.084009

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build