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The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +9.86$

Invest 15.49$

Average return 25.35$

ROI +63.6%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 38.13 $, profit at most −12.78 $

float premium: at least 22 $

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +13.76 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1596

0.98 $

at 0.98

Steam

×8

Nova | Ocular

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0823

10.86 $

at 1.36

Steam

×1

Nova | Ocular

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0029

3.66 $

at 3.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15.49 $ +9.86 (+63.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

AWP | Ice Coaled

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

28.14 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29.30 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Smoking Kills

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

31.24 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25.31 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

25.82 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25.36 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Genesis Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6.49 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8.35 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3172134 · The Genesis Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 9.18$ · invest 17.03$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.082325; Nova | Ocular (Factory New): float at most 0.006202 instead of 0.002927
Craft 3172289 · The Genesis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 8.90$ · invest 16.89$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.082325; Nova | Ocular (Factory New): float at most 0.006202 instead of 0.002927

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build