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The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +418.23₴

Invest 399.73₴

Average return 817.95₴

ROI +104.6%

Chance of profit 36%

With float: invest at least 981.00 ₴, profit at most −163.04 ₴

float premium: at least 547 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

245.78 ₴

at 40.96

Steam

×4

Galil AR | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

153.95 ₴

at 38.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 399.73 ₴ +418.23 (+104.6%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 64%

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

274.62 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

831.76 ₴ 12.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

370.23 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

233.36 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

43.53 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 380.29 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Stinger

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

406.75 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 409.42 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Gila

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

267.86 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.038499

1 663.50 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +267.45 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +349.41 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3172937 · The Glove Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 515.61₴ · invest 338.75₴
pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 3172408 · The Glove Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 514.57₴ · invest 388.58₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 3172514 · The Glove Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 489.59₴ · invest 716.26₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.165131
Craft 3172801 · The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 483.64₴ · invest 415.90₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 3172571 · The Glove Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 475.40₴ · invest 316.77₴
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 3161141 · The Chroma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 469.35₴ · invest 409.23₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 3169453 · The Gallery Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 432.11₴ · invest 355.68₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165153 instead of 0.165131
Craft 3155989 · The Breakout Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 400.93₴ · invest 328.58₴
Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 3160046 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 392.95₴ · invest 269.18₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred), M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165667 instead of 0.165131

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build