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The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +10.64₽

Invest 652.49₽

Average return 663.13₽

ROI +1.6%

Chance of profit 37%

With float: invest at least 1 552.00 ₽, profit at most −888.88 ₽

float premium: at least 794 ₽

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

14% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Battle-Scarred

any lot

100.88 ₽

at 100.88

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5190

551.61 ₽

at 61.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 652.49 ₽ +10.64 (+1.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 63%
About break-even 3%

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus

Well-Worn

float up to 0.397014

1 126.55 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

482.58 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.567164

644.45 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.567164

637.61 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Field-Tested

float up to 0.181492

1 178.07 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.567164

779.95 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −95.69 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −11.57 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3171852 · The Genesis Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 11.25₽ · invest 643.07₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.567164 instead of 0.519071

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build