to all crafts

The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +4.80$

Invest 58.21$

Average return 63.01$

ROI +8.2%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 136.20 $, profit at most −73.19 $

float premium: at least 72 $

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +9.39 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1976

9.45 $

at 4.73

Steam

×4

Zeus x27 | Olympus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0798

18.40 $

at 4.60

Steam

×4

Zeus x27 | Olympus

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0010

30.35 $

at 7.59

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 58.21 $ +4.80 (+8.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Inheritance

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

112.34 $ 40.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Chrome Cannon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087791

39.38 $ 40.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087791

63.03 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087791

54.71 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The Shadow Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2.42 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.84 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3175920 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3.81$ · invest 75.51$
M4A1-S | Decimator (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New): float at most 0.003540 instead of 0.001027

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build