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The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +36.16₴

Invest 230.11₴

Average return 266.28₴

ROI +15.7%

Chance of profit 96%

With float: invest at least 558.22 ₴, profit at most −291.94 ₴

float premium: at least 333 ₴

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +43.44 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0798

25.40 ₴

at 25.40

Steam

×3

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1748

41.89 ₴

at 13.96

Steam

×6

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

162.82 ₴

at 27.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 230.11 ₴ +36.16 (+15.7%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 4%
About break-even 32%

in profit

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

334.83 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Factory New

float up to 0.057399

303.48 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

265.52 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

274.62 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

831.76 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

370.23 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

233.36 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

43.53 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −10.76 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +18.09 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3154244 · The Bank Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 32.80₴ · invest 219.28₴
CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.006921 instead of 0.005109

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build