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The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −90.99₴

Invest at least 178.01₴

Average return 87.02₴

ROI −51.1%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 178.01 ₴, profit at most −90.99 ₴

float premium: at least 94 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +59.77 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

20.38 ₴

at 20.38

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Rebel

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

20.29 ₴

at 4.06

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Rebel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

35.46 ₴

at 8.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 76.13 ₴ +10.89 (+14.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1695

127.57 ₴

at 21.26

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

108.27 ₴

at 36.09

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

8.41 ₴

at 8.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 244.26 ₴ +54.71 (+22.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

20.38 ₴

at 20.38

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

85.05 ₴

at 21.26

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Rebel

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

4.06 ₴

at 4.06

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Rebel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

35.46 ₴

at 8.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 144.95 ₴ +48.05 (+33.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

20.38 ₴

at 20.38

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

63.79 ₴

at 21.26

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Rebel

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

8.12 ₴

at 4.06

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Rebel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

35.46 ₴

at 8.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 127.75 ₴ +38.76 (+30.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

20.38 ₴

at 20.38

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

21.26 ₴

at 21.26

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Rebel

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

16.24 ₴

at 4.06

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Rebel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

35.46 ₴

at 8.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 93.34 ₴ +20.18 (+21.6%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 72%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.100961

75.68 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

104.76 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku

Field-Tested

float up to 0.288076

79.37 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080769

40.14 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

48.10 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080769

166.78 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

181.20 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 115.68 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.067307

303.48 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.208653

104.24 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.03 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8.18 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build