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The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −76.18$

Invest at least 140.15$

Average return 63.96$

ROI −54.4%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 140.15 $, profit at most −76.18 $

float premium: at least 82 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

4.73 $

at 4.73

Steam

×9

P2000 | Wicked Sick

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

49.41 $

at 5.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 54.13 $ +9.83 (+18.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

4.73 $

at 4.73

Steam

×1

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

8.72 $

at 8.72

Steam

×8

P2000 | Wicked Sick

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

43.92 $

at 5.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 57.36 $ +5.18 (+9.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

4.73 $

at 4.73

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

17.44 $

at 8.72

Steam

×7

P2000 | Wicked Sick

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

38.43 $

at 5.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 60.59 $ +0.54 (+0.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 50%
About break-even 5%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Head Shot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

54.01 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Temukau

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

96.37 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

63.03 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

54.71 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.89 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7.30 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3180347 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 10.67$ · invest 57.11$
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested); P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076423 instead of 0.077999
Craft 3180567 · The Revolution Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 10.24$ · invest 60.99$
rare inputs

AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build