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The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −48.62₴

Invest at least 241.20₴

Average return 192.58₴

ROI −20.2%

Chance of profit 8%

With float: invest at least 241.20 ₴, profit at most −48.62 ₴

float premium: at least 99 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +536.82 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

35.29 ₴

at 3.92

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

68.69 ₴

at 68.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 103.99 ₴ +88.59 (+85.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

11.76 ₴

at 3.92

Steam

×1

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

54.97 ₴

at 54.97

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

412.16 ₴

at 68.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 478.89 ₴ +417.91 (+87.3%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 8%
Losing outcome 74%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.041975

83.82 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

Galil AR | Control

Factory New

float up to 0.058839

122.50 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073641

45.10 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Wave Breaker

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

104.76 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.051549

76.26 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036937

405.84 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.058913

3 932.78 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.050076

1 299.15 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073641

107.21 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +53.68 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +73.28 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3168362 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 92.69₴ · invest 90.26₴
rare inputs

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear); P90 | Wave Breaker: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078307 instead of 0.075778

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build