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The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +5.05$

Invest 90.20$

Average return 95.25$

ROI +5.6%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 222.77 $, profit at most −127.53 $

float premium: at least 129 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

28.55 $

at 14.27

Steam

×8

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

61.65 $

at 7.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 90.20 $ +5.05 (+5.6%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

13.30 $

at 13.30

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

28.55 $

at 14.27

Steam

×7

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1679

53.95 $

at 7.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 95.79 $ +2.39 (+2.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 80%

about break-even

worst

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

99.81 $ 40.00%

Steam

about break-even

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

105.77 $ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080999

136.99 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Mecha Industries

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

136.04 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −6.00 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.06 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gamma Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build