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The Genesis Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −3.60$

Invest at least 8.72$

Average return 5.11$

ROI −41.3%

Chance of profit 26%

With float: invest at least 8.72 $, profit at most −3.60 $

float premium: at least 5 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

1.79 $

at 0.26

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1.10 $

at 0.55

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

0.79 $

at 0.79

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.69 $ +1.43 (+38.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

2.21 $

at 0.55

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

3.97 $

at 0.79

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Condition Zero

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

0.98 $

at 0.98

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.15 $ +0.94 (+13.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

1.02 $

at 0.26

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

1.66 $

at 0.55

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

2.38 $

at 0.79

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.06 $ +1.24 (+24.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

0.77 $

at 0.26

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

1.66 $

at 0.55

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

2.38 $

at 0.79

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Condition Zero

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

0.98 $

at 0.98

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.78 $ +1.12 (+19.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

1.66 $

at 0.55

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

2.38 $

at 0.79

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Condition Zero

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

3.91 $

at 0.98

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.94 $ +0.74 (+9.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 72%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3.51 $ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

13.05 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3.87 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3.31 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2.23 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | Exoskeleton

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

16.98 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

13.82 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

10.24 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

12.81 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

6.36 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Genesis Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Genesis Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.68 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.21 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Genesis Collection and The Operation Broken Fang Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3172129 · The Genesis Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1.47$ · invest 3.21$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested)
Craft 3172089 · The Genesis Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 1.40$ · invest 3.33$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Yorick (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.163693; StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.074763

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Genesis Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build