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The Genesis Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +18.19$

Invest 25.70$

Average return 43.89$

ROI +70.8%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 58.81 $, profit at most −14.92 $

float premium: at least 33 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +26.31 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Ocular

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

2.71 $

at 1.36

Steam

×3

Nova | Ocular

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

10.97 $

at 3.66

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

1.94 $

at 1.94

Steam

×4

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

10.08 $

at 2.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25.70 $ +18.19 (+70.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Ocular

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

7.32 $

at 3.66

Steam

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0796

17.63 $

at 2.52

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

5.42 $

at 5.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30.37 $ +24.44 (+80.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Ocular

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

3.66 $

at 3.66

Steam

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0791

17.63 $

at 2.52

Steam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

10.85 $

at 5.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32.14 $ +26.31 (+81.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Nova | Ocular

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

10.97 $

at 3.66

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

1.94 $

at 1.94

Steam

×6

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

15.11 $

at 2.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 28.02 $ +23.15 (+82.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Nova | Ocular

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

4.07 $

at 1.36

Steam

×3

Nova | Ocular

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

10.97 $

at 3.66

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

1.94 $

at 1.94

Steam

×3

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

7.56 $

at 2.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24.54 $ +15.72 (+64.0%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 50%

about break-even

worst

AWP | Ice Coaled

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

28.14 $ 16.67%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

29.30 $ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Smoking Kills

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

31.24 $ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

138.33 $ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

46.68 $ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

29.19 $ 16.67%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear) × 2 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 2.71 → 6.00 $

Nova | Ocular (Factory New) × 3 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 10.97 → 24.80 $

MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) × 1 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 1.94 → 4.18 $

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) × 4 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 10.08 → 23.83 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.058823429

outcomes come out up to 0.058823, 0.058823, 0.058823, 0.069999, 0.052941, 0.037646

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Genesis Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 3 only The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Genesis Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +11.67 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +16.55 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Genesis Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3162411 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 23.16$ · invest 19.98$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear), Nova | Ocular (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076065 instead of 0.075404; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076065 instead of 0.075404
Craft 3179979 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 21.67$ · invest 19.89$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Vent Rush (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear), Nova | Ocular (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076742 instead of 0.075404; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076742 instead of 0.075404
Craft 3180330 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 21.29$ · invest 15.05$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear), Nova | Ocular (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074353 instead of 0.075404; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074353 instead of 0.075404
Craft 3179294 · The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 19.97$ · invest 20.69$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear), Nova | Ocular (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075159 instead of 0.075404; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075159 instead of 0.075404
Craft 3181234 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 18.06$ · invest 20.26$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Button Masher (Minimal Wear), Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear), Nova | Ocular (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074748 instead of 0.075404; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074748 instead of 0.075404

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Genesis Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build