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The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +204.00₴

Invest 238.14₴

Average return 442.14₴

ROI +85.7%

Chance of profit 80%

With float: invest at least 552.64 ₴, profit at most −110.49 ₴

float premium: at least 321 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

78.21 ₴

at 39.10

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

87.34 ₴

at 17.47

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

72.60 ₴

at 24.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 238.14 ₴ +204.00 (+85.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

39.10 ₴

at 39.10

Steam

×7

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

122.27 ₴

at 17.47

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

87.32 ₴

at 43.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 248.69 ₴ +192.85 (+77.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −59 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

AUG | Amber Slipstream

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

95.46 ₴

at 23.86

Steam

×5

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

195.52 ₴

at 39.10

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

17.47 ₴

at 17.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 308.44 ₴ +137.91 (+44.7%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

1 171.99 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

311.60 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

244.49 ₴ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

300.25 ₴ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | PAW

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

344.62 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

563.67 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | High Seas

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

479.09 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

496.56 ₴ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Nova | Toy Soldier

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

686.02 ₴ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +125.81 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +183.74 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3181225 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 200.84₴ · invest 201.39₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 3157362 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 194.69₴ · invest 203.38₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3177961 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 190.94₴ · invest 214.21₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 3178883 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 189.61₴ · invest 199.34₴
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3161403 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 188.93₴ · invest 245.03₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 3171478 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 187.53₴ · invest 204.15₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 3173791 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 184.36₴ · invest 233.63₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3162397 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 180.00₴ · invest 191.37₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074222 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074222 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3181252 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 178.76₴ · invest 196.23₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 3181287 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 172.21₴ · invest 210.53₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 3167104 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 171.88₴ · invest 241.86₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3156318 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 166.12₴ · invest 218.15₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 3169991 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 164.96₴ · invest 220.10₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074471 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074471 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3160564 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 162.49₴ · invest 190.76₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred), M249 | Spectre (Factory New), XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074430 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3144325 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 157.33₴ · invest 228.45₴
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.088909 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080314 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3181227 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 153.05₴ · invest 194.66₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074117

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build