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The Italy Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit +15.47₴

Invest 34.03₴

Average return 49.50₴

ROI +45.5%

Chance of profit 26%

With float: invest at least 82.40 ₴, profit at most −32.91 ₴

float premium: at least 42 ₴

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1686

3.90 ₴

at 3.90

Steam

×3

Negev | Wall Bang

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1686

6.60 ₴

at 2.20

Steam

×6

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2145

23.53 ₴

at 3.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 34.03 ₴ +15.47 (+45.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

XM1014 | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

4.60 ₴

at 2.30

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1611

3.90 ₴

at 3.90

Steam

×7

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2087

27.45 ₴

at 3.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35.95 ₴ +12.03 (+33.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

XM1014 | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

4.60 ₴

at 2.30

Steam

×1

P90 | Wash me

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

2.65 ₴

at 2.65

Steam

×7

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2067

27.45 ₴

at 3.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 34.70 ₴ +14.05 (+40.5%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 26%
Losing outcome 52%
About break-even 22%

about break-even

Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

37.21 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

27.14 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

MAC-10 | Pipsqueak

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

142.00 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

24.85 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Candy Apple

Factory New

float up to 0.023333

87.32 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Anodized Navy

Factory New

float up to 0.006222

30.70 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Full Stop

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

29.23 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Italy Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 6 only The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9.10 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +13.12 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Italy Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3177952 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 15.90₴ · invest 32.31₴
AUG | Condemned (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Italy Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build