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The Operation Hydra Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +1 745.09₴

Invest 1 264.72₴

Average return 3 009.81₴

ROI +138.0%

Chance of profit 38%

With float: invest at least 3 192.40 ₴, profit at most −182.59 ₴

float premium: at least 1 910 ₴

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Metal Flowers

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0125

284.69 ₴

at 284.69

Steam

×9

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

980.02 ₴

at 108.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 264.72 ₴ +1 745.09 (+138.0%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 38%
Losing outcome 62%

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.007446

497.16 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

684.52 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 618.00 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Orbit Mk01

Factory New

float up to 0.005851

4 292.97 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Woodsman

Factory New

float up to 0.008510

1 699.70 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P250 | Red Rock

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

2 123.63 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P90 | Death Grip

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

1 923.98 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Death's Head

Factory New

float up to 0.005425

1 028.59 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Hydra Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 171.01 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 515.65 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Hydra Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3182402 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Vertigo Collection · profit 1 695.44₴ · invest 1 182.42₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Glacier Mesh (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006003 instead of 0.007341
Craft 3152484 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 664.19₴ · invest 1 223.75₴
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006276 instead of 0.007341

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Hydra Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build