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The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +56.58$

Invest 90.78$

Average return 147.37$

ROI +62.3%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 206.33 $, profit at most −58.97 $

float premium: at least 109 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +92.21 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

11.80 $

at 5.90

Steam

×4

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

36.81 $

at 9.20

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

15.41 $

at 7.71

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

26.77 $

at 13.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 90.78 $ +56.58 (+62.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −28 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

9.20 $

at 9.20

Steam

×8

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

107.06 $

at 13.38

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

29.19 $

at 29.19

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 145.46 $ +89.80 (+61.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

47.18 $

at 5.90

Steam

×1

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

9.20 $

at 9.20

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

13.38 $

at 13.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 69.77 $ +24.86 (+35.6%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

23.59 $

at 5.90

Steam

×4

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

36.81 $

at 9.20

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

15.41 $

at 7.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 75.81 $ +36.40 (+48.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 30%

at a loss

worst

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

67.90 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

USP-S | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

109.32 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

300.92 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

280.60 $ 20.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 11.80 → 26.07 $

P250 | Visions (Factory New) × 4 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 36.81 → 87.05 $

G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 15.41 → 34.06 $

G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 26.77 → 59.15 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.048999, 0.059499, 0.069999, 0.069999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 only The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +29.96 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +46.98 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3175797 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 72.83$ · invest 93.50$
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear), P250 | Visions (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.193972 instead of 0.163095; G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074082 instead of 0.074555
Craft 3157390 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 60.08$ · invest 96.70$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear), P250 | Visions (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167653 instead of 0.163095; G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076140 instead of 0.074555
Craft 3169092 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 59.17$ · invest 77.77$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear), P250 | Visions (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166579 instead of 0.163095; G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075766 instead of 0.074555

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build