to all crafts

The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −17.83$

Invest at least 73.28$

Average return 55.45$

ROI −24.3%

Chance of profit 23%

With float: invest at least 73.28 $, profit at most −17.83 $

float premium: at least 42 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +26.80 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

1.94 $

at 1.94

Steam

×6

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

15.11 $

at 2.52

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

13.79 $

at 4.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30.84 $ +24.61 (+79.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

17.63 $

at 2.52

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

5.42 $

at 5.42

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

9.19 $

at 4.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32.25 $ +25.42 (+78.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

17.63 $

at 2.52

Steam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

10.85 $

at 5.42

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

4.60 $

at 4.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 33.07 $ +26.80 (+81.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

1.94 $

at 1.94

Steam

×5

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

12.59 $

at 2.52

Steam

×1

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

3.46 $

at 3.46

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

13.79 $

at 4.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 31.78 $ +21.46 (+67.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

1.94 $

at 1.94

Steam

×4

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

10.08 $

at 2.52

Steam

×2

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

6.92 $

at 3.46

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

13.79 $

at 4.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32.72 $ +18.32 (+56.0%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 23%
About break-even 15%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

138.33 $ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

46.68 $ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

29.19 $ 23.33%

Steam

about break-even

Galil AR | Rainbow Spoon

Factory New

float up to 0.032613

34.68 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | AXIA

Factory New

float up to 0.041176

57.28 $ 15.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Sport & Field Collection Variant 3 only The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Sport & Field Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Sport & Field Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Sport & Field Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +15.98 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +22.58 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Sport & Field Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 13 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3156326 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 29.30$ · invest 27.08$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074301 instead of 0.074822; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074301 instead of 0.074822
Craft 3170818 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 28.15$ · invest 23.61$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074074 instead of 0.074822; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074074 instead of 0.074822
Craft 3179703 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 26.99$ · invest 33.61$
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074615 instead of 0.074822; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074615 instead of 0.074822
Craft 3178475 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 26.50$ · invest 32.62$
sells slowly rare inputs

FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested), MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074111 instead of 0.074822
Craft 3181263 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 26.43$ · invest 22.52$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076065 instead of 0.074822; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076065 instead of 0.074822
Craft 3170005 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 26.02$ · invest 25.62$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074978 instead of 0.074822; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074978 instead of 0.074822
Craft 3181300 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 25.54$ · invest 24.80$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Seasons (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074301 instead of 0.074822; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074301 instead of 0.074822
Craft 3163816 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 24.84$ · invest 23.39$
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Signal (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074301 instead of 0.074822; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074301 instead of 0.074822
Craft 3169073 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 24.23$ · invest 21.92$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075078 instead of 0.074822; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075078 instead of 0.074822
Craft 3154959 · The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 23.76$ · invest 28.03$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074798 instead of 0.074822; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074798 instead of 0.074822
Craft 3168148 · The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 22.70$ · invest 20.57$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074528 instead of 0.074822; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074528 instead of 0.074822
Craft 3157372 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 22.46$ · invest 27.01$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074978 instead of 0.074822; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074978 instead of 0.074822
Craft 3171487 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 22.30$ · invest 24.90$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear), P90 | Chopper (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074615 instead of 0.074822; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074615 instead of 0.074822

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build