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The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −129.65₴

Invest at least 781.07₴

Average return 651.42₴

ROI −16.6%

Chance of profit 32%

With float: invest at least 781.07 ₴, profit at most −129.65 ₴

float premium: at least 449 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +555.51 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

104.81 ₴

at 17.47

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

24.20 ₴

at 24.20

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

206.08 ₴

at 68.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 335.08 ₴ +316.33 (+94.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

52.40 ₴

at 17.47

Steam

×1

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

54.97 ₴

at 54.97

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

412.16 ₴

at 68.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 519.53 ₴ +473.31 (+91.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

122.27 ₴

at 17.47

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

43.66 ₴

at 43.66

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

137.39 ₴

at 68.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 303.32 ₴ +262.74 (+86.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

52.40 ₴

at 17.47

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

145.20 ₴

at 24.20

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

68.69 ₴

at 68.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 266.29 ₴ +214.42 (+80.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 171.99 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

101.88 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.048222

244.49 ₴ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

300.25 ₴ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.037888

405.84 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.062222

3 932.78 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.052888

1 299.15 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

107.21 ₴ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +189.17 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +267.81 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build