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The Train Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −6.65$

Invest at least 28.91$

Average return 22.26$

ROI −23.0%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 28.91 $, profit at most −6.65 $

float premium: at least 17 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +11.67 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

1.34 $

at 0.67

Steam

×4

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

4.88 $

at 1.22

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

6.09 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12.31 $ +9.95 (+80.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

0.67 $

at 0.67

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

1.97 $

at 0.99

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

10.67 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.31 $ +11.67 (+87.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

0.33 $

at 0.33

Steam

×3

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

2.01 $

at 0.67

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

1.97 $

at 0.99

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

6.09 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.41 $ +6.41 (+61.5%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

0.55 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

9.00 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

87.23 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

28.82 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

2.38 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Train Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5.32 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7.82 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Train Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3172979 · The Glove Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 10.96$ · invest 13.59$
rare inputs

Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075659 instead of 0.074778; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075659 instead of 0.074778
Craft 3152213 · The Arabesque Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 10.75$ · invest 12.78$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075659 instead of 0.074778; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075659 instead of 0.074778
Craft 3177072 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 10.74$ · invest 13.73$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Vendetta (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075659 instead of 0.074778; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075659 instead of 0.074778
Craft 3182467 · The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 10.67$ · invest 13.54$
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075659 instead of 0.074778; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075659 instead of 0.074778
Craft 3182307 · The Spy Tech Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 10.60$ · invest 12.79$
rare inputs

MP9 | Spy Prototype (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075659 instead of 0.074778; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075659 instead of 0.074778
Craft 3166395 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 8.84$ · invest 11.08$
rare inputs

SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested), SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074089 instead of 0.074778; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074089 instead of 0.074778

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Train Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build