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The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +253.97$

Invest 477.92$

Average return 731.90$

ROI +53.1%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 1 183.79 $, profit at most −451.90 $

float premium: at least 690 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −329.52 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

53.07 $

at 26.54

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

381.61 $

at 54.52

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

43.24 $

at 43.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 477.92 $ +253.97 (+53.1%)

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

26.54 $

at 26.54

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

381.61 $

at 54.52

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

86.49 $

at 43.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 494.63 $ +216.03 (+43.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −155 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0088

327.09 $

at 54.52

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0800

129.73 $

at 43.24

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0088

86.87 $

at 86.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 543.69 $ +124.50 (+22.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −252 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0083

272.58 $

at 54.52

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0794

129.73 $

at 43.24

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0083

173.75 $

at 86.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 576.05 $ +70.92 (+12.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 323.11 $ 45.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

241.05 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

1 140.34 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

float up to 0.019692

103.52 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +219.40 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +250.59 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3172299 · The Genesis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 276.84$ · invest 464.19$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3159498 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 259.30$ · invest 450.68$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078976 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.007854 instead of 0.009367
Craft 3177757 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 256.70$ · invest 469.47$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build