to all crafts

The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −11 350.44₽

Invest at least 34 572.58₽

Average return 23 222.13₽

ROI −32.8%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 34 572.58 ₽, profit at most −11 350.44 ₽

float premium: at least 20 019 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +10 618.87 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

1 912.46 ₽

at 956.23

Steam

×1

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

904.22 ₽

at 904.22

Steam

×7

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

11 134.48 ₽

at 1 590.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13 951.16 ₽ +9 270.97 (+66.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

42 418.87 ₽ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

20 110.63 ₽ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095499

9 500.00 ₽ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

7 436.54 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4 655.75 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6 469.02 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3171061 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10 526.82₽ · invest 14 337.46₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3178715 · The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 9 099.01₽ · invest 12 362.20₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear); AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163064 instead of 0.162033; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 7; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074544 instead of 0.074185

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build