The Dead Hand Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −43 509.21₴

Invest at least 103 311.81₴

Average return 59 802.59₴

ROI −42.1%

Chance of profit 7%

With float: invest at least 103 311.81 ₴, profit at most −43 509.21 ₴

float premium: at least 53 096 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 058 ₴

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 5.0% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −25 538.23 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0108

36 617.63 ₴

at 9 154.41

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Neon Rider

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0108

7 736.62 ₴

at 7 736.62

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 44 354.26 ₴ +15 448.34 (+34.8%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 5.4% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 970 ₴

3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0090

27 463.22 ₴

at 9 154.41

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Neon Rider

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0090

15 473.25 ₴

at 7 736.62

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 42 936.47 ₴ +7 200.89 (+16.8%)

What you get 52 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 29%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 642.72 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

92 368.21 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77 348.12 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.64%

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69 298.12 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

44 273.80 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

54 112.85 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77 023.68 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77 995.24 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

66 634.08 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

63 072.45 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

36 518.00 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

200 623.59 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

64 071.96 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62 621.61 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 554.51 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

78 428.06 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 772.20 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 136.25 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

60 876.63 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

187 255.75 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

79 573.18 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

19 723.94 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

18 037.61 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

13 327.85 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

10 019.34 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

9 390.73 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

58 112.68 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

14 736.05 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

13 871.11 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

10 487.76 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

7 778.63 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

7 554.38 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

5 914.51 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

5 771.28 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

4 546.78 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

3 803.89 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

5 499.85 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 019.06 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

59 411.18 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

55 690.88 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

49 264.68 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

35 830.67 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

35 434.49 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

74 388.52 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

51 857.56 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

41 486.04 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

35 433.90 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

34 440.42 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

29 106.69 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) × 4 16% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 36 617.63 → 86 600.70 ₴

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) × 1 16% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 7 736.62 → 16 711.11 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Chroma 2 Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Chroma 2 Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Chroma 2 Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +14 633.89 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +15 200.50 ₴ historical median

7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 2 Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3183135 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 17 026.88₴ · invest 43 575.88₴
profit on prices without salesat least −510 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012668 instead of 0.010858
Craft 3183137 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 17 026.88₴ · invest 43 575.88₴
profit on prices without salesat least −510 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012668 instead of 0.010858
Craft 3183053 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 16 872.85₴ · invest 43 729.90₴
profit on prices without salesat least −664 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013458 instead of 0.010858
Craft 3183055 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 16 872.85₴ · invest 43 729.90₴
profit on prices without salesat least −664 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013458 instead of 0.010858
Craft 3183795 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 16 770.00₴ · invest 45 636.69₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 336 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.010858
Craft 3183797 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 16 770.00₴ · invest 45 636.69₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 336 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.010858
Craft 3183841 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 16 041.43₴ · invest 43 195.75₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 089 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.010858
Craft 3183843 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 16 041.43₴ · invest 43 195.75₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 089 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.010858
Craft 3183371 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 15 448.34₴ · invest 44 354.26₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 058 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3183439 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 15 326.16₴ · invest 44 476.43₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 181 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.010858
Craft 3183441 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 15 326.16₴ · invest 44 476.43₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 181 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.010858

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 52 outcomes

More

How to build