The Breakout Collection + The Fracture Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −11 619.68₴

Invest 31 062.50₴

Average return 19 442.81₴

ROI −37.4%

Chance of profit 23%

With float: invest 32 986.12 ₴, profit −13 543.31 ₴

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

To build: easy

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 5.4% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −17 345.78 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 7 contracts · easy (by listings)

×2

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Field-Tested

any lot

18 122.99 ₴

at 9 061.49

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Battle-Scarred

any lot

9 334.36 ₴

at 9 334.36

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Battle-Scarred

any lot

3 605.15 ₴

at 1 802.58

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 31 062.50 ₴ −11 619.68 (−37.4%)

What you get 65 outcomes

Profitable outcome 18%
Losing outcome 72%
About break-even 5%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072320

not on Steam: above the cap 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.236000

65 998.21 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

32 138.55 ₴ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

41 039.00 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

42 387.84 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

26 460.63 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

28 425.09 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

26 419.20 ₴ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

24 136.77 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

18 968.17 ₴ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

31 131.94 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

29 310.93 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife

no wear

43 891.48 ₴ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072320

not on Steam: above the cap 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.236000

5 445.50 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

3 959.89 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

3 329.93 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

5 285.87 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

2 751.05 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

1 947.78 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

5 185.75 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

2 780.88 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

1 972.39 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Night Stripe

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

2 910.66 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

2 949.75 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072320

9 112.14 ₴ 0.77%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.236000

8 041.20 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

5 530.27 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

3 340.86 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

5 567.20 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

2 474.93 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

2 167.08 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

5 169.87 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

3 155.53 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

2 178.11 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Night Stripe

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

3 111.49 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

2 831.88 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072320

16 087.91 ₴ 0.77%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.236000

11 491.64 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

8 525.91 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

6 259.89 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

10 225.76 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

3 937.12 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

4 427.38 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

7 077.43 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

4 903.61 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

4 148.60 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Night Stripe

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

5 226.00 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

4 807.88 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072320

30 957.02 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.236000

26 289.86 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

10 527.05 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

10 009.72 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

13 207.58 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

7 338.42 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

6 357.60 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

12 649.66 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

7 704.54 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

6 064.30 ₴ 0.77%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Night Stripe

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

8 716.73 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

6 910.78 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife

no wear

2 990.15 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife

no wear

3 036.41 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife

no wear

6 741.48 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife

no wear

10 751.65 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) × 2 100% of the wear range fits ×1.07 18 122.99 → 19 348.10 ₴

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×1.01 9 334.36 → 9 425.83 ₴

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) × 2 100% of the wear range fits ×1.17 3 605.15 → 4 211.90 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.904000000

outcomes come out up to 0.072320, 0.236000, 0.904000, 0.904000, 0.904000, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.000000, 0.072320, 0.236000, 0.904000, 0.904000, 0.904000, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.072320, 0.236000, 0.904000, 0.904000, 0.904000, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.072320, 0.236000, 0.904000, 0.904000, 0.904000, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.072320, 0.236000, 0.904000, 0.904000, 0.904000, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −13 783.82 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −11 722.93 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 65 outcomes

More

How to build