The CS20 Collection + The Gamma Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −7 875.24₴

Invest 24 569.66₴

Average return 16 694.43₴

ROI −32.0%

Chance of profit 27%

With float: invest 26 859.17 ₴, profit −10 164.75 ₴

float premium: 1 499 ₴ (5.9%)

To build: medium

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 5.7% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −10 025.49 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈57% of lots fit ≈ enough for 2 contracts · medium (estimate)

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Battle-Scarred

any lot

1 772.01 ₴

at 1 772.01

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.3270

22 797.65 ₴

at 5 699.41

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 24 569.66 ₴ −7 875.24 (−32.0%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 10.6% of the chance

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4564

3 544.03 ₴

at 1 772.01

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1798

1 822.66 ₴

at 1 822.66

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1798

11 398.83 ₴

at 5 699.41

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 16 765.51 ₴ −4 996.07 (−29.8%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 24%
Losing outcome 68%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

33 022.89 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.252972

11 384.69 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Lore

Field-Tested

float up to 0.342567

14 849.60 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

11 642.68 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Autotronic

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447972

17 717.82 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263513

8 631.54 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

29 085.87 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.252972

7 340.12 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Lore

Field-Tested

float up to 0.342567

10 674.07 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

6 985.02 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Autotronic

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447972

9 512.48 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263513

8 018.77 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

11 642.68 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.252972

3 574.90 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Lore

Field-Tested

float up to 0.342567

4 949.86 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

2 723.20 ₴ 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Autotronic

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447972

4 222.56 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263513

2 582.51 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

75 531.40 ₴ 2.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.252972

40 104.55 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore

Field-Tested

float up to 0.342567

42 718.97 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

41 509.05 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Autotronic

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447972

31 610.57 ₴ 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263513

36 194.17 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

75 259.83 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.252972

26 470.96 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore

Field-Tested

float up to 0.342567

35 180.68 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

25 450.97 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447972

not on Steam: above the cap 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263513

22 728.84 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

26 155.19 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.141756

11 499.41 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

6 764.30 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

3 743.39 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

8 567.90 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

4 120.08 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

5 297.42 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

11 697.48 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

3 630.03 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

5 203.69 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife

no wear

14 160.09 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×1.01 1 772.01 → 1 788.49 ₴

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) × 4 77% of the wear range fits ×1.10 22 797.65 → 25 070.58 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.527026927

outcomes come out up to 0.042162, 0.252972, 0.342567, 0.527026, 0.447972, 0.263513, 0.042162, 0.252972, 0.342567, 0.527026, 0.447972, 0.263513, 0.042162, 0.252972, 0.342567, 0.527026, 0.447972, 0.263513, 0.042162, 0.252972, 0.342567, 0.527026, 0.447972, 0.263513, 0.042162, 0.252972, 0.342567, 0.527026, 0.447972, 0.263513, 0.042162, 0.141756, 0.527026, 0.527026, 0.527026, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Gamma Collection

Variant 2 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 3 The Huntsman Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 4 The Huntsman Collection instead of The CS20 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −9 719.55 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −8 106.23 ₴ historical median

7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Gamma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3186162 · The Gamma Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −7 803.81₴ · invest 24 569.66₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Black Laminate: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Black Laminate: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Black Laminate: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Black Laminate: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested): float at most 0.260399 instead of 0.327026; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.473999 instead of 0.499999
Craft 3186171 · The CS20 Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit −7 803.81₴ · invest 24 569.66₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Black Laminate: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Black Laminate: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Black Laminate: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Black Laminate: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.473999 instead of 0.499999; StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested): float at most 0.260399 instead of 0.327026
Craft 3186163 · The Gamma Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −7 875.24₴ · invest 24 569.66₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3189148 · The eSports 2014 Summer Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit −8 563.34₴ · invest 26 991.34₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested): float at most 0.379999 instead of 0.327026
Craft 3189157 · The Gamma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit −8 563.34₴ · invest 26 991.34₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested): float at most 0.379999 instead of 0.327026

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Gamma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build