The Wildfire Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −59 049.70₸

Invest 143 521.58₸

Average return 84 471.88₸

ROI −41.1%

Chance of profit 13%

With float: invest 156 268.32 ₸, profit −71 796.44 ₸

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

To build: easy

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 5.7% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −84 131.93 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 15 contracts · easy (by listings)

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Field-Tested

any lot

21 399.54 ₸

at 21 399.54

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

any lot

122 122.04 ₸

at 30 530.51

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 143 521.58 ₸ −59 049.70 (−41.1%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 13%
Losing outcome 81%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073500

681 761.42 ₸ 2.67%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441000

not on Steam: above the cap 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.918750

301 810.85 ₸ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.780937

474 044.39 ₸ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.918750

302 998.42 ₸ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.459375

264 393.57 ₸ 2.67%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073500

101 325.91 ₸ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441000

41 829.62 ₸ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.597187

46 063.57 ₸ 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.780937

49 586.27 ₸ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.918750

33 494.17 ₸ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.459375

38 077.11 ₸ 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073500

55 794.84 ₸ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441000

29 574.23 ₸ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.918750

32 771.91 ₸ 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.780937

29 009.67 ₸ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.918750

22 437.24 ₸ 2.67%

price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.459375

21 539.51 ₸ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073500

110 796.83 ₸ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441000

30 526.68 ₸ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.918750

34 292.76 ₸ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.780937

34 472.17 ₸ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.918750

24 038.73 ₸ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.459375

30 024.60 ₸ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073500

115 829.65 ₸ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441000

33 718.45 ₸ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.597187

46 060.13 ₸ 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.780937

36 787.06 ₸ 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.918750

32 292.76 ₸ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.459375

30 500.20 ₸ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073500

130 033.87 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.239687

113 501.52 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.918750

82 772.12 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.918750

61 896.10 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.918750

98 496.09 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.739875

34 499.97 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.739875

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.739875

89 728.05 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.739875

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.739875

33 648.03 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.739875

23 565.44 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.739875

37 644.58 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

62 425.81 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×0.99 21 399.54 → 21 132.05 ₸

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) × 4 100% of the wear range fits ×1.11 122 122.04 → 135 140.25 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.918750000

outcomes come out up to 0.073500, 0.441000, 0.918750, 0.780937, 0.918750, 0.459375, 0.073500, 0.441000, 0.597187, 0.780937, 0.918750, 0.459375, 0.073500, 0.441000, 0.918750, 0.780937, 0.918750, 0.459375, 0.073500, 0.441000, 0.918750, 0.780937, 0.918750, 0.459375, 0.073500, 0.441000, 0.597187, 0.780937, 0.918750, 0.459375, 0.073500, 0.239687, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −68 678.86 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −60 816.11 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3186095 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −56 037.00₸ · invest 139 751.29₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3186102 · The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −56 037.00₸ · invest 139 751.29₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3187570 · The Fever Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −57 755.94₸ · invest 146 282.41₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3187572 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fever Collection · profit −57 755.94₸ · invest 146 282.41₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3187754 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −59 049.70₸ · invest 143 521.58₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3187740 · The Wildfire Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −59 267.32₸ · invest 143 521.58₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.371575 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.979853 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3187755 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −59 267.32₸ · invest 143 521.58₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.979853 instead of 1.000000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.371575 instead of 0.380000

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

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How to build