The Operation Riptide Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −10 358.74₴

Invest 16 279.10₴

Average return 5 920.35₴

ROI −63.6%

Chance of profit 3%

With float: invest 17 563.05 ₴, profit −11 642.69 ₴

float premium: 0 ₴ (0.0%)

To build: no data

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.8% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −11 337.51 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.9374

4 192.16 ₴

at 4 192.16

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.9374

12 086.93 ₴

at 3 021.73

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 16 279.10 ₴ −10 358.74 (−63.6%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 3%
Losing outcome 90%
Above the Steam cap 7%

Order

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.244374

12 149.13 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

8 199.53 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

4 564.00 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

9 616.35 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.753749

3 783.86 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.753749

4 305.44 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.753749

8 252.61 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.753749

6 204.75 ₴ 6.15%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.753749

3 719.08 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.753749

3 794.90 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.753749

3 376.07 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife

no wear

7 285.40 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

68 527.61 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

30 336.68 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.796874

47 648.82 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

30 456.04 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.468749

26 575.66 ₴ 0.67%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

10 184.83 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

4 204.53 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.609374

4 630.10 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.796874

4 984.19 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

3 366.68 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.468749

3 827.34 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

5 608.25 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

2 972.67 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

3 294.09 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.796874

2 915.92 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

2 255.29 ₴ 0.67%

price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.468749

2 165.05 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

11 136.80 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

3 068.41 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

3 446.95 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.796874

3 464.99 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

2 416.27 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.468749

3 017.94 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

11 642.68 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

3 389.23 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.609374

4 629.76 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.796874

3 697.67 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

3 245.92 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.468749

3 065.74 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) × 1 89% of the wear range fits ×1.14 4 192.16 → 4 782.84 ₴

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) × 4 89% of the wear range fits ×1.06 12 086.93 → 12 780.72 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.937499900

outcomes come out up to 0.074999, 0.244374, 0.937499, 0.937499, 0.937499, 0.753749, 0.753749, 0.753749, 0.753749, 0.753749, 0.753749, 0.753749, 0.000000, 0.074999, 0.449999, 0.937499, 0.796874, 0.937499, 0.468749, 0.074999, 0.449999, 0.609374, 0.796874, 0.937499, 0.468749, 0.074999, 0.449999, 0.937499, 0.796874, 0.937499, 0.468749, 0.074999, 0.449999, 0.937499, 0.796874, 0.937499, 0.468749, 0.074999, 0.449999, 0.609374, 0.796874, 0.937499, 0.468749

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Riptide Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −10 961.77 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −10 425.01 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Operation Riptide Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3187840 · The Gallery Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −9 423.58₴ · invest 14 161.24₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.937499
Craft 3187844 · The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit −9 423.58₴ · invest 14 161.24₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.937499
Craft 3188040 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −9 759.97₴ · invest 16 686.70₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 1.000000 instead of 0.937499
Craft 3188046 · The Falchion Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −9 759.97₴ · invest 16 686.70₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 1.000000 instead of 0.937499
Craft 3187982 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −9 866.50₴ · invest 15 102.40₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 1.000000 instead of 0.937499
Craft 3187986 · The Falchion Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit −9 866.50₴ · invest 15 102.40₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 1.000000 instead of 0.937499
Craft 3187914 · The Falchion Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −10 358.74₴ · invest 16 279.10₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3187907 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −10 364.21₴ · invest 16 279.10₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.899999 instead of 0.937499; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.899999 instead of 0.937499
Craft 3187915 · The Falchion Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −10 364.21₴ · invest 16 279.10₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.899999 instead of 0.937499; StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.899999 instead of 0.937499

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Riptide Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build