The Fracture Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −37 715.16₸

Invest 124 403.22₸

Average return 86 688.06₸

ROI −30.3%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 278 632.59 ₸, profit at most −191 944.47 ₸

float premium: at least 156 056 ₸

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: −36 407.88 ₸ по средним

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0820

74 028.87 ₸

at 24 676.29

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0820

50 374.35 ₸

at 25 187.18

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 124 403.22 ₸ −37 715.16 (−30.3%)

What you get 65 outcomes

Profitable outcome 18%
Losing outcome 74%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

130 033.87 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

311 654.56 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

128 978.99 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

87 607.79 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

195 908.51 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

62 376.73 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

169 620.94 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

91 082.34 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

67 986.20 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

40 540.33 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

62 425.81 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

94 175.24 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

90 285.28 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

51 147.88 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

42 050.23 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

82 102.82 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

29 849.67 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

38 320.65 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

82 069.17 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

39 711.76 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

31 408.87 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

36 805.88 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

42 126.13 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

90 654.02 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

89 728.05 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

57 981.36 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

38 693.71 ₸ 1.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

72 000.20 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

40 401.19 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

34 608.14 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

86 999.07 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

39 777.09 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

34 135.01 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

44 368.73 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

47 105.38 ₸ 1.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

160 053.99 ₸ 1.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

141 804.25 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

125 847.79 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

111 074.35 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

170 479.22 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

59 936.00 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

64 697.31 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

135 839.67 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

77 387.31 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

49 196.58 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

67 986.20 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

60 568.52 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

307 982.48 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

269 179.12 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

219 707.64 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

133 777.46 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

241 499.45 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

127 590.78 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

124 843.25 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

352 527.51 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

108 690.03 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

98 251.01 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

113 057.88 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

152 195.12 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife

no wear

29 748.17 ₸ 1.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife

no wear

30 208.39 ₸ 1.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife

no wear

67 069.05 ₸ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife

no wear

106 965.10 ₸ 1.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) × 3 15% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 74 028.87 → 167 305.24 ₸

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 2 15% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 50 374.35 → 111 327.32 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.121621522

outcomes come out up to 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Dreams & Nightmares Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −48 847.77 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −39 894.46 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 65 outcomes

More

How to build