The Wildfire Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −589.75$

Invest at least 825.56$

Average return 235.81$

ROI −71.4%

Chance of profit 1%

With float: invest at least 825.56 $, profit at most −589.75 $

float premium: at least 413 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: −105.73 $ по средним

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 10.7% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −145.69 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

112.31 $

at 56.16

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

103.52 $

at 103.52

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

160.07 $

at 80.03

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 375.90 $ −140.09 (−37.3%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 8.3% of the chance

≈3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0864

56.16 $

at 56.16

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0143

103.52 $

at 103.52

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0864

240.10 $

at 80.03

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 399.78 $ −146.59 (−36.7%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 13.0% of the chance

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

112.31 $

at 56.16

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

207.04 $

at 103.52

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

71.07 $

at 71.07

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 390.43 $ −171.99 (−44.0%)

What you get 41 outcomes

Profitable outcome 15%
Losing outcome 67%
About break-even 7%
Above the Steam cap 11%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

289.91 $ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.030833

694.84 $ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083333

287.56 $ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083333

195.32 $ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083333

436.78 $ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

not on Steam: above the cap 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

139.07 $ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

378.17 $ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

203.07 $ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

151.58 $ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

90.39 $ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

not on Steam: above the cap 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

139.18 $ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

173.96 $ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

126.26 $ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

102.67 $ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

102.37 $ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

94.38 $ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

600.14 $ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

420.78 $ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

398.09 $ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

335.72 $ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

479.34 $ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

317.08 $ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

368.26 $ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

218.49 $ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

152.92 $ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

134.64 $ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

218.53 $ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

172.00 $ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

1 223.84 $ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

697.76 $ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

680.01 $ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

500.60 $ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

399.90 $ 1.43%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

577.44 $ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife

no wear

87.83 $ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife

no wear

51.25 $ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife

no wear

213.28 $ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife

no wear

373.24 $ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 2 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 112.31 → 248.21 $

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 1 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 103.52 → 223.61 $

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear) × 2 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 160.07 → 353.75 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.083333233

outcomes come out up to 0.006666, 0.030833, 0.083333, 0.083333, 0.083333, 0.121666, 0.121666, 0.121666, 0.121666, 0.121666, 0.121666, 0.121666, 0.000000, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.041666, 0.449999, 0.121666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.041666, 0.449999, 0.121666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.041666, 0.449999, 0.121666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.041666, 0.449999, 0.121666, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection Variant 3 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Dreams & Nightmares Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −170.88 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −144.47 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Prisma 2 Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 41 outcomes

More

How to build