The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −7 246.61₴

Invest 16 779.31₴

Average return 9 532.70₴

ROI −43.2%

Chance of profit 11%

With float: invest 17 413.42 ₴, profit −7 880.71 ₴

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

To build: easy

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −9 390.64 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 5 contracts · easy (by listings)

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Field-Tested

any lot

6 452.96 ₴

at 2 150.99

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

any lot

10 326.35 ₴

at 5 163.18

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 16 779.31 ₴ −7 246.61 (−43.2%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 11%
Losing outcome 80%
Above the Steam cap 9%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.045871

13 070.42 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.153348

11 408.66 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.573392

8 319.88 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.573392

6 221.52 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.573392

9 900.39 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.484310

3 467.78 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.484310

not on Steam: above the cap 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.484310

9 019.06 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.484310

not on Steam: above the cap 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.484310

3 382.15 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.484310

2 368.69 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.484310

3 783.86 ₴ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

6 274.76 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.045871

92 377.02 ₴ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.045871

58 609.14 ₴ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.045871

81 078.78 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.286696

47 348.55 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.744035

31 091.41 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.484310

29 762.08 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.045871

20 743.02 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.045871

10 890.09 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.045871

9 514.74 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.286696

6 833.67 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.744035

2 450.39 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Ultraviolet

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.484310

3 757.20 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.045871

8 567.90 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.045871

7 215.46 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.045871

5 061.55 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.286696

3 794.90 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.744035

3 004.29 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.484310

3 426.96 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.045871

17 813.29 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.045871

12 402.37 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.045871

8 304.77 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.286696

5 389.85 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.744035

2 903.10 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.484310

4 700.06 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.045871

22 273.03 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.045871

11 896.48 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.045871

10 276.41 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.286696

6 424.20 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.744035

2 999.17 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.484310

3 156.85 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 3 100% of the wear range fits ×1.01 6 452.96 → 6 533.62 ₴

StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) × 2 100% of the wear range fits ×1.05 10 326.35 → 10 879.85 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.573392857

outcomes come out up to 0.045871, 0.153348, 0.573392, 0.573392, 0.573392, 0.484310, 0.484310, 0.484310, 0.484310, 0.484310, 0.484310, 0.484310, 0.000000, 0.045871, 0.045871, 0.045871, 0.286696, 0.744035, 0.484310, 0.045871, 0.045871, 0.045871, 0.286696, 0.744035, 0.484310, 0.045871, 0.045871, 0.045871, 0.286696, 0.744035, 0.484310, 0.045871, 0.045871, 0.045871, 0.286696, 0.744035, 0.484310, 0.045871, 0.045871, 0.045871, 0.286696, 0.744035, 0.484310

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum Collection

Variant 2 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 3 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Dreams & Nightmares Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −8 311.51 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −7 523.58 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Spectrum Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build