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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ancient Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −1 214.32₽

Invest at least 3 325.31₽

Average return 2 110.99₽

ROI −36.5%

Chance of profit 33%

With float: invest at least 3 325.31 ₽, profit at most −1 214.32 ₽

float premium: at least 1 884 ₽

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +1 010.54 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P250 | Exchanger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0813

169.92 ₽

at 42.48

Steam

×5

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0007

895.00 ₽

at 179.00

Steam

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1066

330.00 ₽

at 330.00

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 1 394.92 ₽ +716.07 (+51.3%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

worst

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

1 031.04 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

4 417.65 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 110.08 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MAC-10 | Gold Brick

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

6 828.76 ₽ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Ancient Visions

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

3 517.40 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Ancient Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

3 453.99 ₽ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ancient Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +367.99 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +584.76 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Ancient Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3193437 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 659.75₽ · invest 1 121.47₽
sells slowly pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004336 instead of 0.000785
Craft 3193236 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 648.73₽ · invest 1 235.32₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Factory New) instead of Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004248 instead of 0.000785

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ancient Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build