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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +1.43$

Invest 5.03$

Average return 6.46$

ROI +28.5%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 11.51 $, profit at most −5.05 $

float premium: at least 6 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +2.34 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

2.38 $

at 2.38

souvenirSteam

×5

MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

1.04 $

at 0.21

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

1.60 $

at 0.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.03 $ +1.43 (+28.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1717

4.77 $

at 2.38

souvenirSteam

×1

M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

2.83 $

at 2.83

Steam

×7

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

2.80 $

at 0.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.40 $ +1.84 (+17.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1666

2.38 $

at 2.38

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

11.50 $

at 2.87

souvenirSteam

×5

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

2.00 $

at 0.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15.89 $ +2.13 (+13.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

16.96 $

at 2.83

Steam

×1

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

3.76 $

at 3.76

souvenirSteam

×3

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

1.20 $

at 0.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21.92 $ +1.88 (+8.6%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 90%

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Glockingbird

Factory New

float up to 0.062533

3.70 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4.50 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

31.75 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.129066

41.54 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

float up to 0.034533

38.73 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Boreal Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Boreal Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Boreal Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.24 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.03 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Boreal Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build