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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Prisma Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +62.76₴

Invest 335.28₴

Average return 398.04₴

ROI +18.7%

Chance of profit 46%

With float: invest at least 821.86 ₴, profit at most −423.82 ₴

float premium: at least 478 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

127.48 ₴

at 127.48

Steam

×9

MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

207.80 ₴

at 23.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 335.28 ₴ +62.76 (+18.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −177 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

259.27 ₴

at 129.64

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

338.80 ₴

at 169.40

souvenirSteam

×2

P90 | Off World

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

37.33 ₴

at 18.67

Steam

×4

MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

92.35 ₴

at 23.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 727.76 ₴ +25.65 (+3.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −107 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

259.27 ₴

at 129.64

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

169.40 ₴

at 169.40

souvenirSteam

×7

MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

161.62 ₴

at 23.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 590.29 ₴ +44.66 (+7.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −224 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

388.91 ₴

at 129.64

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

338.80 ₴

at 169.40

souvenirSteam

×5

MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

115.44 ₴

at 23.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 843.16 ₴ +28.71 (+3.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −57 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

127.48 ₴

at 127.48

Steam

×1

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

169.40 ₴

at 169.40

souvenirSteam

×2

P90 | Off World

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

37.33 ₴

at 18.67

Steam

×6

MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

138.53 ₴

at 23.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 472.75 ₴ +43.75 (+9.2%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 54%
About break-even 18%

about break-even

AWP | Atheris

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

401.04 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Light Rail

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

788.69 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP5-SD | Gauss

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

60.47 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Bamboozle

Factory New

float up to 0.062222

270.57 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

float up to 0.031111

86.85 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

1 431.72 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.117555

1 873.19 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

float up to 0.028777

1 746.40 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −13.16 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +53.26 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build