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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +288.50₽

Invest 715.86₽

Average return 1 004.36₽

ROI +40.3%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 1 665.82 ₽, profit at most −661.46 ₽

float premium: at least 928 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

235.71 ₽

at 235.71

souvenirSteam

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

286.20 ₽

at 47.70

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

193.95 ₽

at 64.65

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 715.86 ₽ +288.50 (+40.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −736 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

1 414.26 ₽

at 235.71

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

924.03 ₽

at 308.01

souvenirSteam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

47.70 ₽

at 47.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 385.99 ₽ +91.97 (+3.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −506 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

1 178.55 ₽

at 235.71

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

616.02 ₽

at 308.01

souvenirSteam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

47.70 ₽

at 47.70

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

129.30 ₽

at 64.65

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 971.57 ₽ +137.99 (+7.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −34 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

471.42 ₽

at 235.71

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

308.01 ₽

at 308.01

souvenirSteam

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

286.20 ₽

at 47.70

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

64.65 ₽

at 64.65

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 130.28 ₽ +242.48 (+21.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

231.79 ₽

at 231.79

Steam

×1

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

308.01 ₽

at 308.01

souvenirSteam

×8

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

381.60 ₽

at 47.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 921.40 ₽ +267.16 (+29.0%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 30%

about break-even

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.067021

834.67 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

590.61 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 404.28 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.047872

2 603.20 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.130850

3 405.89 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

float up to 0.035425

3 175.35 ₽ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +138.37 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +240.55 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build