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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −105.46₴

Invest at least 191.53₴

Average return 86.07₴

ROI −55.1%

Chance of profit 6%

With float: invest at least 191.53 ₴, profit at most −105.46 ₴

float premium: at least 100 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +61.88 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

12.19 ₴

at 6.09

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

46.04 ₴

at 6.58

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

21.85 ₴

at 21.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 80.08 ₴ +5.99 (+7.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

30.76 ₴

at 7.69

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

14.55 ₴

at 14.55

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1697

109.23 ₴

at 21.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 154.54 ₴ +46.46 (+30.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

46.04 ₴

at 6.58

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

7.69 ₴

at 7.69

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1665

43.69 ₴

at 21.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 97.42 ₴ +17.38 (+17.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

15.38 ₴

at 7.69

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

29.11 ₴

at 14.55

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

131.07 ₴

at 21.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 175.56 ₴ +54.17 (+30.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 54%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.078166

38.79 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

39.49 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081666

87.92 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.088666

100.26 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

63.27 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

301.95 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

181.20 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.060666

1 011.90 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

388.18 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199499

98.51 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −6.30 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.51 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build