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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +2.59$

Invest 2.77$

Average return 5.36$

ROI +93.7%

Chance of profit 68%

With float: invest at least 6.56 $, profit at most −1.20 $

float premium: at least 4 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +4.70 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

0.51 $

at 0.17

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

1.61 $

at 0.32

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1685

0.64 $

at 0.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.77 $ +2.59 (+93.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

1.02 $

at 0.17

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

0.97 $

at 0.32

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

0.32 $

at 0.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.31 $ +1.78 (+77.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

0.65 $

at 0.32

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

6.25 $

at 0.89

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

1.46 $

at 1.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.36 $ +4.58 (+54.8%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 32%
About break-even 16%

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.046899

1.77 $ 16.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3.21 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

4.59 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Factory New

float up to 0.053199

5.29 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

1.40 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

31.97 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.27 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

10.02 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

13.90 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.68 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.45 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3214114 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 2.03$ · invest 2.61$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077085 instead of 0.076437; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New): float at most 0.006199 instead of 0.005633; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170370 instead of 0.168508

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build