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The Falchion Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +2 615.17₽

Invest 2 022.72₽

Average return 4 637.89₽

ROI +129.3%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 5 126.71 ₽, profit at most −488.82 ₽

float premium: at least 2 990 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +4 505.55 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

1 611.99 ₽

at 179.11

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

410.73 ₽

at 410.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 022.72 ₽ +2 615.17 (+129.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 246 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

358.22 ₽

at 179.11

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

2 488.24 ₽

at 622.06

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

4 878.32 ₽

at 1 219.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 724.78 ₽ +4 270.80 (+55.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 302 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

552.51 ₽

at 552.51

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

3 110.30 ₽

at 622.06

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

4 878.32 ₽

at 1 219.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 541.13 ₽ +4 505.55 (+52.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 003 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

895.55 ₽

at 179.11

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

1 866.18 ₽

at 622.06

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

2 439.16 ₽

at 1 219.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 200.89 ₽ +3 641.40 (+70.0%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.056818

4 110.16 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.018181

2 089.38 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.056818

6 174.89 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 412.44 ₽ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Factory New

float up to 0.055681

12 299.06 ₽ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup

Factory New

float up to 0.039772

12 925.85 ₽ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 4 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 831.16 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 445.20 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Operation Broken Fang Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3215228 · The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 2 379.50₽ · invest 1 988.99₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161810 instead of 0.162962

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build