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The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −3 091.87₸

Invest at least 10 383.39₸

Average return 7 291.52₸

ROI −29.8%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 10 383.39 ₸, profit at most −3 091.87 ₸

float premium: at least 5 945 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +3 400.14 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

750.49 ₸

at 375.25

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

258.21 ₸

at 258.21

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

3 202.78 ₸

at 457.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 211.48 ₸ +3 080.05 (+73.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −383 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

1 876.23 ₸

at 375.25

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

613.81 ₸

at 613.81

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

1 830.16 ₸

at 457.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 320.20 ₸ +1 556.30 (+36.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −868 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

2 251.48 ₸

at 375.25

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

1 227.62 ₸

at 613.81

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

915.08 ₸

at 457.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 394.17 ₸ +774.84 (+17.6%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

335.85 ₸

at 335.85

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

1 125.74 ₸

at 375.25

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

2 745.24 ₸

at 457.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 206.82 ₸ +2 377.21 (+56.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 121 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

2 626.72 ₸

at 375.25

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

1 227.62 ₸

at 613.81

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

587.22 ₸

at 587.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 441.56 ₸ +373.66 (+8.4%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 88%
Losing outcome 12%

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

11 538.62 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

13 011.42 ₸ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127777

7 073.59 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.021111

5 172.08 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.033333

3 004.05 ₸ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

7 740.36 ₸ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.028888

10 067.13 ₸ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.027777

3 861.89 ₸ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.168333

980.03 ₸ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 only The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 970.07 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 106.31 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3226561 · The Phoenix Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 3 510.44₸ · invest 4 129.95₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3205208 · The CS20 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 3 098.65₸ · invest 3 849.47₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build