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The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −3 750.11₸

Invest at least 27 652.91₸

Average return 23 902.86₸

ROI −13.6%

Chance of profit 33%

With float: invest at least 27 652.91 ₸, profit at most −3 750.11 ₸

float premium: at least 16 163 ₸

To build: no data

A more profitable set was dropped: +32 763.43 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

8 820.25 ₸

at 980.03

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3835

2 062.81 ₸

at 2 062.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 883.06 ₸ +13 019.80 (+119.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 63%
Losing outcome 37%

in profit

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22 489.36 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

11 432.36 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 786.85 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.141999

196 048.30 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

9 742.22 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.126899

9 480.35 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9 140.94 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +12 111.17 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3215143 · The Falchion Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 14 309.30₸ · invest 11 067.62₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162962 instead of 0.161810

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build