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The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +14.57₴

Invest 106.14₴

Average return 120.71₴

ROI +13.7%

Chance of profit 44%

With float: invest at least 263.37 ₴, profit at most −142.66 ₴

float premium: at least 151 ₴

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +24.66 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1748

21.85 ₴

at 21.85

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1726

4.96 ₴

at 4.96

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0815

79.33 ₴

at 9.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 106.14 ₴ +14.57 (+13.7%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 44%
Losing outcome 56%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

84.60 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

float up to 0.064999

109.35 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

134.12 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

77.30 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

145.65 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

301.95 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

181.20 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.051999

1 011.90 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

388.18 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.190999

98.51 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4.86 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +12.04 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3222356 · The Horizon Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 15.97₴ · invest 100.88₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164529 instead of 0.172606; StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075053 instead of 0.081562
Craft 3217875 · The Gallery Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 15.54₴ · invest 97.09₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164696 instead of 0.172606; StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075111 instead of 0.081562

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build