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The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −1 177.79₽

Invest at least 2 084.64₽

Average return 906.86₽

ROI −56.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 2 084.64 ₽, profit at most −1 177.79 ₽

float premium: at least 1 219 ₽

To build: no data

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3835

130.10 ₽

at 65.05

Steam

×6

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

537.48 ₽

at 89.58

Steam

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3835

97.12 ₽

at 97.12

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

110.31 ₽

at 110.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 875.01 ₽ +31.85 (+3.6%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4786

59.19 ₽

at 59.19

Steam

×6

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

537.48 ₽

at 89.58

Steam

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3836

194.24 ₽

at 97.12

Steam

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

115.03 ₽

at 115.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 905.94 ₽ +23.12 (+2.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 53%

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

float up to 0.166666

383.78 ₽ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.053333

2 188.33 ₽ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

float up to 0.166666

403.33 ₽ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Field-Tested

float up to 0.161666

1 471.22 ₽ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 061.53 ₽ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.106666

1 208.79 ₽ 6.67%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 130.10 → 287.52 ₽

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) × 6 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.51 537.48 → 1 349.07 ₽

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 97.12 → 209.78 ₽

MP7 | Special Delivery (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 110.31 → 238.27 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.166666567

outcomes come out up to 0.166666, 0.053333, 0.166666, 0.161666, 0.149999, 0.106666

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −104.37 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −9.10 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build