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The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +1 331.75₴

Invest 1 154.24₴

Average return 2 486.00₴

ROI +115.4%

Chance of profit 73%

With float: invest at least 2 850.35 ₴, profit at most −364.34 ₴

float premium: at least 1 595 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +1 340.12 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

788.06 ₴

at 98.51

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

366.18 ₴

at 183.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 154.24 ₴ +1 331.75 (+115.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 052 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

98.51 ₴

at 98.51

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

1 992.63 ₴

at 284.66

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

903.35 ₴

at 451.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 994.49 ₴ +1 288.11 (+43.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −652 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

295.52 ₴

at 98.51

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

1 707.97 ₴

at 284.66

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

451.68 ₴

at 451.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 455.17 ₴ +1 314.11 (+53.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 73%
Losing outcome 27%

in profit

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

2 260.53 ₴ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.018823

1 149.13 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

3 396.10 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 941.07 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

4 830.03 ₴ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

3 889.32 ₴ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +906.32 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 236.96 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build