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The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −6 231.61₸

Invest at least 12 485.21₸

Average return 6 253.61₸

ROI −49.9%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 12 485.21 ₸, profit at most −6 231.61 ₸

float premium: at least 7 397 ₸

To build: no data

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3838

711.86 ₸

at 355.93

Steam

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

3 431.05 ₸

at 490.15

Steam

×1

P90 | Virus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

1 001.31 ₸

at 1 001.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 144.23 ₸ +1 109.38 (+21.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −776 ₸

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3849

355.93 ₸

at 355.93

Steam

×5

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

2 450.75 ₸

at 490.15

Steam

×4

P90 | Virus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

4 005.25 ₸

at 1 001.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 811.93 ₸ +621.96 (+9.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −277 ₸

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4872

323.87 ₸

at 323.87

Steam

×6

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

2 940.90 ₸

at 490.15

Steam

×3

P90 | Virus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

3 003.94 ₸

at 1 001.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 268.71 ₸ +771.78 (+12.3%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

4 235.06 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.038918

11 973.78 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

4 008.86 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

10 736.53 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089189

9 898.00 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089189

8 344.43 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Nova | Bloomstick

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

16 075.33 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Huntsman Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +129.51 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +845.32 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3215572 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 1 013.25₸ · invest 4 834.20₸
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Virus (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.387001 instead of 0.383828; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173003 instead of 0.162580
Craft 3214453 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 999.94₸ · invest 4 411.96₸
rare inputs

P2000 | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Virus (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384117 instead of 0.383828; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163528 instead of 0.162580

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build