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The Fracture Collection + The Gallery Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +0.24$

Invest 37.95$

Average return 38.19$

ROI +0.6%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 98.00 $, profit at most −59.81 $

float premium: at least 54 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

5% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

XM1014 | Entombed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1670

3.85 $

at 3.85

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4906

34.10 $

at 3.79

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 37.95 $ +0.24 (+0.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Field-Tested

float up to 0.346985

31.00 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Vaporwave

Field-Tested

float up to 0.283727

57.90 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Field-Tested

float up to 0.332499

39.79 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Printstream

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

38.49 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Gallery Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Gallery Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4.12 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.99 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Gallery Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3218096 · The Gallery Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 0.25$ · invest 37.47$
rare inputs

MP9 | Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.481012 instead of 0.490665
Craft 3216594 · The Fracture Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 0.25$ · invest 37.95$
rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Printstream: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.186219 instead of 0.167005; UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.536611 instead of 0.490665
Craft 3218097 · The Gallery Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 0.24$ · invest 37.47$
rare inputs

MP9 | Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested); Glock-18 | Gold Toof: Battle-Scarred instead of Field-Tested; UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.636173 instead of 0.490665
Craft 3217797 · The Gallery Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 0.23$ · invest 39.91$
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Well-Worn) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested); Glock-18 | Gold Toof: Battle-Scarred instead of Field-Tested; UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.661644 instead of 0.490665

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Gallery Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build