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The Fracture Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +13.09$

Invest 62.23$

Average return 75.32$

ROI +21.0%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 146.63 $, profit at most −71.31 $

float premium: at least 83 $

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +36.56 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

XM1014 | Entombed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1556

3.85 $

at 3.85

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0814

25.53 $

at 4.26

Steam

×3

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1564

32.84 $

at 10.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 62.23 $ +13.09 (+21.0%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×8

XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

34.04 $

at 4.26

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3839

10.15 $

at 10.15

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

10.95 $

at 10.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 55.14 $ +9.12 (+16.5%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.131249

41.92 $ 35.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

55.03 $ 35.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | B the Monster

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

175.61 $ 30.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 only The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.99 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +10.15 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3223515 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 15.76$ · invest 59.41$
rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Field-Tested), USP-S | Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested), XM1014 | Entombed (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested): float at most 0.157637 instead of 0.156487
Craft 3213863 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 13.95$ · invest 78.95$
rare inputs

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested), XM1014 | Entombed (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171101 instead of 0.156487
Craft 3225916 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 12.50$ · invest 67.33$
rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Battle-Scarred), R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Battle-Scarred), XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested), XM1014 | Entombed (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

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How to build