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The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +2 485.66₸

Invest 3 552.36₸

Average return 6 038.02₸

ROI +70.0%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 8 090.11 ₸, profit at most −2 052.09 ₸

float premium: at least 4 394 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +5 578.57 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

1 004.87 ₸

at 200.97

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

742.94 ₸

at 371.47

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

437.73 ₸

at 437.73

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

1 366.82 ₸

at 683.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 552.36 ₸ +2 485.66 (+70.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

1 406.82 ₸

at 200.97

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

742.94 ₸

at 371.47

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

683.41 ₸

at 683.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 833.17 ₸ +1 358.56 (+48.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

803.90 ₸

at 200.97

Steam

×1

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

541.64 ₸

at 541.64

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

3 417.05 ₸

at 683.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 762.58 ₸ +4 044.86 (+84.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

1 406.82 ₸

at 200.97

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

371.47 ₸

at 371.47

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

1 366.82 ₸

at 683.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 145.11 ₸ +1 969.74 (+62.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 15%
Losing outcome 42%
About break-even 42%

about break-even

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

3 939.53 ₸ 35.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

3 578.19 ₸ 35.00%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

4 176.73 ₸ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

39 126.19 ₸ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

13 131.96 ₸ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

1 065.06 ₸ 7.50%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear) × 5 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 1 004.87 → 2 482.03 ₸

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 742.94 → 1 641.90 ₸

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 437.73 → 945.50 ₸

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 1 366.82 → 3 020.67 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.087499900

outcomes come out up to 0.061249, 0.061249, 0.040124, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.087499

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 454.69 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 005.36 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3228215 · The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 2 394.66₸ · invest 2 914.20₸
rare inputs

Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161538 instead of 0.161974; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074013 instead of 0.074164
Craft 3226670 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 2 389.31₸ · invest 3 664.86₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162503 instead of 0.161974; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074164
Craft 3212262 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 2 384.79₸ · invest 3 377.60₸
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested), MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161627 instead of 0.161974; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074044 instead of 0.074164
Craft 3201902 · The Ascent Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 2 383.49₸ · invest 4 039.61₸
rare inputs

MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161802 instead of 0.161974; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074105 instead of 0.074164
Craft 3207555 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 2 329.52₸ · invest 2 678.43₸
rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161719 instead of 0.161974; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074076 instead of 0.074164

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build