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The Lake Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +108.26₴

Invest 207.08₴

Average return 315.34₴

ROI +52.3%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 489.10 ₴, profit at most −173.76 ₴

float premium: at least 275 ₴

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +157.02 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

SG 553 | Anodized Navy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0012

61.05 ₴

at 20.35

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0815

36.81 ₴

at 18.40

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0898

109.23 ₴

at 21.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 207.08 ₴ +108.26 (+52.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −23 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Teardown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

12.96 ₴

at 12.96

Steam

×5

SG 553 | Anodized Navy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0028

101.75 ₴

at 20.35

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0833

55.21 ₴

at 18.40

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0803

21.85 ₴

at 21.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 191.76 ₴ +2.90 (+1.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

SG 553 | Anodized Navy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0021

81.40 ₴

at 20.35

Steam

×4

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0851

73.61 ₴

at 18.40

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0826

43.69 ₴

at 21.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 198.70 ₴ +76.42 (+38.5%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

worst

Dual Berettas | Cobalt Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

38.83 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

1 171.99 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

301.68 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

239.00 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

292.99 ₴ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Lake Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Lake Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +54.11 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +94.61 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Lake Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Lake Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build