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The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +266.61₴

Invest 364.53₴

Average return 631.14₴

ROI +73.1%

Chance of profit 46%

With float: invest at least 903.04 ₴, profit at most −271.90 ₴

float premium: at least 521 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

40.26 ₴

at 40.26

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

268.97 ₴

at 33.62

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

55.30 ₴

at 55.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 364.53 ₴ +266.61 (+73.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −90 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

281.85 ₴

at 40.26

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

66.00 ₴

at 66.00

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

110.60 ₴

at 55.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 458.45 ₴ +224.33 (+48.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −128 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

281.85 ₴

at 40.26

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

132.00 ₴

at 66.00

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

55.30 ₴

at 55.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 469.15 ₴ +221.02 (+47.1%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 54%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 528.36 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Factory New

float up to 0.067899

505.05 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Button Masher

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

167.61 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

174.38 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Cyber Shell

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

211.25 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

1 441.64 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

688.67 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

451.68 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

626.70 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 only The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +169.74 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +247.73 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3215457 · The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 244.25₴ · invest 361.98₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.074772; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.005697 instead of 0.004176

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build